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Election Postponement in Kaduna:Will Two Days Make Any Difference?-By Ismail Omipidan      Sat April 23,2011


After the February and May 2000 ethno-religious crisis, precipitated by the attempt to introduce Sharia in the State, many had thought; never again will the State witness such wanton killing and destruction of lives and properties. But barely 11 years after the mayhem, Kaduna, which government delegation from Plateau State had visited sometimes last year, to copy its peace and security models, with a view to implementing same in Jos, the Plateau State capital, which had been in perpetual State of unrest for about three years now, erupted again in violence.


But the violence, which started off, as a political one, was later to snowball again, into an ethno-religious one. While Christians kill Muslims, burnt their places of worship and homes, Muslims too did same to the Christians. But while some Christians, especially around Kabala-West in Kaduna, saved Muslims, mostly Yoruba, from the rampaging Hausa Muslims from the Tudun-Wada end of the metropolis, who were bent on attacking them, just because their kith and kin in far way Lagos, Ekiti, Ondo, Oyo and Ogun States, rejected Buhari and went for Jonathan, Hausa Muslims were out for their fellow Muslims, especially from the North, perceived to be PDP supporters.


In the end, lives were lost; properties were destroyed, with tension and apprehension still hanging ominously in the air. For instance, after about 60 hours of curfew, the State governor, Mr. Patrick Ibrahim Yakowa, reviewed it downward on Wednesday, and said residents would be allowed to move around that Wednesday, from 12noon to 5pm, while beginning from last Thursday through Sunday, residents would be allowed to move about from 8am to 4pm.
However, by last Thursday, barely two hours after some residents moved out, with many remaining indoors, an alarm was raised to the effect that fighting again broke out at the popular Central Market, a situation that left many to scamper for safety, as a few shop owners who had opened for business, quickly locked them up and returned home. Although, the alarm may be a false one, such kind of false alarm will be a recurring thing for at least another week, going by the experience of 2000.

All these, forced me, beginning from last Tuesday, precisely two days after the violence broke out in Kaduna, to begin to reach out to a few very influential Nigerians that I know, including some top lawmakers on the need to shift Kaduna governorship election from Tuesday April 26, 2011, to a later date, but certainly not April 28, 2011.And by last Thursday, the Independent Election Monitoring Group, IEMG, led by its National Coordinator, Festus Okoye, who himself is a Kaduna man, met and reviewed the whole situation. And after its meeting, it called on the Independent National Ele ctoral Commission
, INEC, not to contemplate holding the governorship and State Assembly elections in Kaduna and eight other troubled States, following the post-presidential election clashes that were recorded in those States.
Instead, the group called on INEC and the country’s top security hierarchy to reassess the security challenges in the States concerned on State-by-State basis, and where they feel strongly that the conduct of the election would lead to further break down of law and order, the Commission should not hesitate to consider postponing the elections in such State (s).

Ironically,  the group came up with its statement on Wednesday night and duly signed by the group’s National Coordinator, Okoye, but the copy was not made available to Journalists until last Thursday’s morning. And by evening of the same Thursday, INEC came up with its own position on election postponement in two troubled States-Kaduna and Bauchi.
I don’t know what the situation is in Bauchi, but in Kaduna, where I live and work, and where I started my Journalism career in 1999, I know that just two days shift will not make any difference, except of course the authorities are saying they do not care if we kill ourselves, ‘all they want is for them or their person to be in power.’As I write this piece, many have not returned home, and many may never return even before April 28, the new date for the election.

By implication, if the authorities go ahead with the election as planned on Thursday, many Kaduna residents will be disfranchised. That is one. Two, I am not a pessimist, but with my knowledge of Kaduna, if the election should go on as planned, no matter the security network put in place, fight will still break out after announcement of results, irrespective of the party that wins.

I am aware of the constitutional constraint of INEC, especially with regards to section 178 of the constitution, which requires it to hold governorship election “not earlier than 150 days and not later than 30 days before the expiration of the tenure of office of the last holder of that office.”
But section 26(1) of the Electoral Act, empowers it to postpone election where it believed that going ahead with such an election will lead to further break down of law and order. The section reads in part “where a date has been appointed – for the holding of an election, and there is reason to believe that a serious breach of the peace is likely to occur if the election is proceeded with on that date or it is impossible to conduct the elections as a result of natural disasters or other emergencies, the Commission may postpone the election and shall in respect of the area, or areas concerned, appoint another date for the holding of the postponed election, provided that such reason for the postponement is cogent and verifiable.”
The question that naturally comes to mind is that if the election does not hold in Kaduna on April 28, 2011 (the new date) what happens? Simple! By May 29, 2011, Yakowa’s tenure naturally comes to an end. You don’t need to declare a state of emergency. Once that happens, since the State Assembly too would have gone, without inaugurating the new one, the Chief Judge of the State, who is naturally the next on line takes over in accordance with the constitution, and within six months, if we are sure the State is back to normal, then we can now hold the election. Anything short of that, to my mind will be a direct invitation to another orgy of killings and violent attacks. May God Help us.


Omipidan is a Kaduna-based Journalist and could be reached on smileomi@yahoo.com and iomipidan@gmail.com.








 

 

 

 

 


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